Tesla clear winner from US President Election result?

Tesla clear winner from US President Election result?
Asif 2024-11-11 US Equity Public
US:TSLA

it's clear to everyone that Elon Musk supports former President Donald Trump’s candidacy. Musk has donated nearly $119 million so far to a political action committee he set up to support Trump. source: CNN

“He’s bet big here. He dove into the deep end of the pool on this election,” said Daniel Ives, tech analyst at Wedbush Securities.

Early Wednesday, investors were already betting that Trump’s win will also be a win for Musk’s major public holding, Tesla (TSLA), sending shares of his electric vehicle maker up an immediate 13% at the market open, and closing regular trading up nearly 15%.

By Wednesday morning, investors were already speculating that Trump's victory would positively impact Musk's significant public holding, Tesla (TSLA). This anticipation caused Tesla's shares to surge by 13% at the market open, eventually closing 15% higher.

Trump has criticized electric vehicles, arguing they are costly, have limited range, and could harm jobs and the American auto industry. However, despite the potential reduction or elimination of federal support for EVs under another Trump presidency, this might not necessarily be detrimental to Tesla and Musk.

During Biden's administration, there has been substantial government backing for the development and purchase of electric vehicles (EVs). This includes billions in loans to incentivize automakers to invest in EV and battery manufacturing facilities in the U.S., support for charging infrastructure, and a $7,500 tax credit for many electric car buyers. Many industry experts believe Trump will end those programs.

Trump might be more likely to give a green light to Musk’s true self-driving vehicles, yet to be made, along with a fleet of so-called “robotaxis” to give rides without any sort of driver on board.

“In our view, Tesla and CEO Elon Musk are perhaps the biggest winners from the election result, and we believe Trump’s victory will help expedite regulatory approval of the company’s autonomous driving technology,” he said in a note to clients Wednesday, raising his recommendation on Tesla stock from a “Hold” to a “Buy.” He raised his 12-month price target for the stock by $110 to $375 a share." - Garrett Nelson, analyst with CFRA Research.

The bigger problem for Tesla with Trump’s win is that there could be a renewed trade war with China, given the importance of its plant in Shanghai to its global sales and profits. Over 40% of Tesla cars deliveries come from the China market.

Some Tesla investors say that while the new Trump administration is likely to be a negative for the auto industry. Trump could also kill the National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure (NEVI) program to install more EV chargers. However, at least 14 percent of NEVI funds have gone directly to Tesla, which is the largest provider of EV charging in the US. source : TheVerge

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched in the EV industry and this dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, “coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players (BYD, Nio, etc.) from flooding the US market over the coming years.”

Arguments are on both side let's see how policy changes when Trump sworn in.

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Kommentarer (2)
Quentin 2024-11-11

You’re right—Elon Musk’s support for Trump’s campaign has been substantial, with significant donations and public endorsements. This alliance seems to be paying off for Tesla, as the stock surged nearly 15% following the election.

While Trump has criticized electric vehicles in the past, his administration might favor Tesla by easing regulations on autonomous driving technologies, potentially accelerating the approval of Tesla’s self-driving initiatives.

However, there are concerns about potential trade tensions with China, which could impact Tesla’s Shanghai operations and its significant market share there.

Analysts like Dan Ives from Wedbush suggest that Tesla’s scale could give it a competitive edge, even if EV subsidies are reduced.

It’ll be interesting to see how these dynamics play out as the new administration’s policies take shape.


Johan 2024-11-13

The election of former President Trump could have significant implications for Elon Musk and Tesla. Investors are betting that Trump's victory will benefit Tesla, as seen in the immediate 15% surge in the company's stock. While Trump has criticized electric vehicles, his administration may take a more favorable approach to Tesla's autonomous driving technologies. However, renewed trade tensions with China pose a risk, as China is a crucial market for Tesla. Overall, the impact on Tesla will depend on how the new administration's policies towards the EV industry and US-China relations evolve.


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